By: CJ Rooks (@CJRooks0415)
Happy football weekend to everyone and thank you for reading another edition of the Rooks Report.
I hope you had the chance to read the article last week because my picks finished with a 6-1 record! To recap the six wins were Duke, Purdue, Minnesota, Ole Miss, Oakland Raiders and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The only loss was the Auburn Tigers. I guess Mississippi State is for real this year. As always best of luck to everyone this weekend and any feedback you would like to give is always welcomed.
Record on the Year: 30-11 ATS
Syracuse Orangemen at Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6: I will start out this week with the least popular game in the ACC conference. Wake Forest is coming off a bye week and it could not have come at a better time. They were just crushed by a Florida State team, but now will come home facing a Syracuse team that is very injured and possibly overlooking the Demon Deacons. Wake Forest has not had much success this year on offense and that’s because they are starting a true freshmen at quarterback. However because of injuries, Syracuse is also starting a true freshman under center and he will be going on the road for the first time. This line opened up at 3.5 and has gone as high as 6. That is a lot of points for a freshmen quarterback to cover on the road in his first start. Syracuse is feeling good after only losing to the Seminoles by 17. This line is all public steam and they think Syracuse will just walk all over Wake Forest. I say go with the home dog and grab the 6 points.
South Florida Bulls at Tulsa Golden Hurricanes +2: So another game completely off the radar, but I cannot ignore the fact that South Florida is favored on the road. Vegas odds makers knew what they were doing with this line. South Florida played well last weekend against a very good East Carolina team and should go into Tulsa and easily defeat a team with a five game losing streak. I say wrong. There is no way you can back South Florida as a road favorite, but that is what the public is doing. The Bulls are being backed by over 80% according to one site. Once again I will go the other way and I also think that Tulsa might even end their losing streak. Grab Tulsa and the 2 points
Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5: Okay back to a matchup that really matters. The Aggies come into this game riding a two game losing streak and are finally showing the team we expected them to be. Alabama comes into this game after playing the previous two on the road and narrowly escaping an upstart Arkansas program. It seems like the Aggies are on my card every weekend. I am going with the Tide this Saturday to easily cover this number. Nick Saban is mad and now the media is telling everyone that this team is not talented enough and the offense is not as good as originally thought. On top of that Alabama is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games and we all know deep down Saban does not like the Aggies. This line opened 11.5 and has gone as high as 13.5. All the money is on Texas A&M, but the line still moves higher. That means smart money is on Alabama and so are we. Take the Tide -13.5 before it gets too high.
Georgia Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks +3.5: Did you know that Bret Bielema and his Arkansas team have not won an SEC game since he became coach? That means he is 0-11 against the SEC. That is very bad and he needs a big win. He almost got it last weekend against Alabama and I think the Razorbacks are fuming that they didn’t. Georgia comes into this game riding high after demolishing an overrated Missouri team. The Razorbacks have a good defense with a really strong run game. Add in the fact that Georgia is playing back to back road games. This line may go higher if Todd Gurley plays, but I still like the Razorbacks. Wait until Saturday to grab this line just in case Gurley does play because you want to get the best number available. Take the Razorbacks and grab the points Saturday morning.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +21.5 at Ohio State Buckeyes: This game screams public to me so much. Ohio State has played very well recently and is now coming off a bye week and playing against a Rutgers team who the media has deemed overrated. This line was at 19.5 yesterday and is now at 21.5. That is a huge spike and way too many points. Add in the fact that Rutgers knows it’s an underdog and they are using that for motivation. This team believes they can win in Columbus on Saturday and are not afraid. Take Rutgers and the 21.5 before it drops any lower.
Washington Huskies +21 at Oregon Ducks: So Oregon easily defeated an overrated UCLA team last week and all of a sudden they are penciled back into the playoffs. I don’t think so. The king of the underdogs himself, Chris Petersen, is the head coach of the Washington Huskies. The same Chris Petersen that was at Boise State. Petersen has his defense playing very well and the offense will put up points against Oregon. I don’t think they pull the upset, but I do like the Huskies to keep it close. My opinion on Mariota is still wavering, but he can’t beat a team by himself. Oregon is riding high after a blowout win over a rival and will overlook an upstart Huskies program. Grab the Huskies +21 before it drops.
Minnesota Vikings +6 at Buffalo Bills: This line in my opinion is a huge overreaction to how the Vikings have played the past two weeks. They were blown out against Green Bay and were dominated by a Lions team that has a really good defense. Buffalo is being praised as new team with Kyle Orton as the quarterback. I think Orton is playing well, but this is a lot of points. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer lit a fire under his team after last weekend’s loss and said he will start pulling players off the field for not playing well. Zimmer is a great coach and I am telling you he is motivating his team. This line opened at 4 and has climbed as high as 6 and that is all public pushing it. Grab the 6 before it begins to drop because I think it will. Teddy Bridgewater is a good quarterback and he will showcase that again on Sunday. I like the Vikings to keep it close.
New York Giants +6.5 at Dallas Cowboys: Well look at what we have here. The Dallas Cowboys who beat the defending super bowl champs are now all of sudden the best team in the NFL. I do not agree at all. I will admit the Cowboys are playing well, but this is classic case of what have you done for me lately. The Giants were just blown out against the Eagles last weekend and everybody tuned in to see it. The defense actually played decent in the game forcing two turnovers, but the offense was abysmal and scored zero points. Now they go into this game a big underdog. This line opened at -3.5 before and now its 6.5 and even 7 in some places. That is all public opinion and I like the Giants to bounce back and make this game exciting. Grab the Giants and 6.5 before it drops any lowers.
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars +6: Now to save the best for last. If you read my article last week you would know I called for the Raiders and the Jags to get their first win. Man was I close. I hope you put more on the spread to offset the loss if you took the money lines, but they both almost pulled it off. The Browns just blew out the Steelers and are now being talked about as a possible playoff team. The Jaguars come into this game hungry for their first win and should of won last weekend. The offense sputtered out after going up 7-0 and still came close at the end if not for a fumble by Cecil Shorts and a blocked field goal. The Browns are getting all the love in this one and are being backed strongly by the public. The line opened at 4 and has climbed to 6 already. I think Jags keep it close and maybe, just maybe get a home win for this very supportive fan base. Grab the Jags and the 6 points before it drops any lower.
CJ Rooks (@cjrooks0415)
Rooks Report Week 7 (10/09/14)
Happy football weekend to everyone and thank you for reading another edition of the Rooks Report.
Last week was not a spectacular week, but we still finished with a 5-3 record! The 5 wins were the Gators, Mississippi State Bulldogs, TCU, Clemson Tigers, and St. Louis Rams. Brutal collapses by Stanford, Texas Longhorns and the Tennessee Titans. For a moment on Saturday I was dreaming of an undefeated record. I can dare to dream I guess. As always, best of luck to everyone this weekend and any feedback you would like to give is always welcomed.
Record on the Year: 24-10
Duke Blue Devils+3 @Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Let’s begin this week with two teams that are a little off the radar. Georgia Tech comes into this matchup with an undefeated record of 5-0 and a 10 game winning streak against Duke. Duke is coming off a bye week after suffering a miserable loss to the Hurricanes. I like this game mostly because of the line movement. Most places opened up Georgia Tech favored 5, but that line has come crashing down to 3. So we have an undefeated team, at home, 10 straight victories over the opponent, and the line drops. That should scream to betters out there that something is wrong. On top of that both head coaches are taking shots at one another. Give me the Blue Devils and grab the 3 points.
Michigan State Spartans @ Purdue Boilermakers +21: I am so sick of hearing how good Michigan State is. All the talk about how they should be a top 5 team if they didn’t lose to Oregon. Who have they played though? They played Oregon and got beat by double digits, and then beat a Nebraska team that hasn’t showed up in a big game since Bo Pelini has been the coach. The Spartans almost gave that game away getting to comfortable with a big lead. Purdue has a new starting quarterback by the name of Austin Appleby. Last weekend Appleby led the Boilermakers to their first Big 10 win since 2012. I am not calling for an upset here, but I like Purdue to keep it close. Michigan State has played 4 of its 5 games at home and now has to take a trip to play against a Purdue team that always plays them tough. Grab the points while you can and take Purdue +21.
Northwestern Wildcats @ Minnesota Golden Gophers -4: Another Big 10 game on the card. This is unheard of. So Northwestern just came off big wins at Penn State and at home vs Wisconsin. Now they are going back on the road to Minnesota who is just coming off a bye week. The public is in love with Northwestern and can’t believe they are getting points with this team again. As you know we don’t like going with the public and we will take the Golden Gophers in this one. The line opened Minnesota -2.5 and has climbed to -4 even with the public backing Northwestern. Smart money is on Minnesota and so are we. Grab the 4 before it gets too high.
Auburn Tigers -3 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs: Okay back to a game that really matters in college football. Auburn is coming into this game off a huge blowout win over LSU. What I think is more impressive than the Tigers offense is their defense. The Tigers will need that defense to slow down Dak Prescott. I told you last week to watch out for Mr. Prescott. He will put up big numbers again, but I think Auburn is just too talented and will get out of Mississippi with the win. The Tigers have one thing on their mind and that’s a national championship. In a matchup like this I also like Gus Malzahn to use every trick he has in the bag. Mississippi State is feeling really good about themselves after dismantling Texas A&M, but I think A&M is overrated anyway. Take Auburn -3 while you can still grab it. Don’t watch this game though, unless you like to sweat a lot.
Ole Miss Rebels +2 @ Texas A&M Aggies: Yes, I know what happened last weekend with Ole Miss. They had a huge upset win over Alabama and Texas A&M was blown out. Kevin Sumlin will have his team ready, and no way will they lose 2 in a row. I say wrong. This Ole Miss Defense is legit and they will stifle Kenny Hill. I like Hills potential, but not now. He is too inconsistent with his throws and we saw last week what happens when he plays a tough defense. I am concerned about Ole Miss and how they will come back to earth after such a big win; however I like Hugh Freeze as a coach and he will get his team on track. The public loves A&M and this line is coming down. Grab the 2 points while you can and roll with Ole Miss.
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders +7: So San Diego is the talk of the NFL. Phillip Rivers is putting together a MVP type season and the defense is playing really well and shut out the Jets last week. Why am I picking the Raiders then? I am taking Oakland because they are the team nobody will want to bet on. They are winless and just fired their head coach. So the public will love the Chargers. I think the Raiders will play hard because they now have a new coach they want to impress. This game will either be close in the 4th quarter or a complete blowout. I am even going to go one step further and call for the outright upset. Sprinkle a little on the Oakland money line too. Raiders get their first win of the year!
Jacksonville Jaguars +Whatever @ Tennessee Titans: There is no line on this game yet because of the uncertainty with Jake Locker. I don’t care what the line is you take the Jaguars. Gus Bradley and this team are starving for a win and the Titans are realing after a brutal collapse last week against the Browns. Storm Johnson will get his chance to shine against Tennessee and will showcase that he is a talented back. Also Blake Bortles is a better quarterback than whoever the Titans have. The Jaguar defense finally woke up last week against Pittsburgh. Take the Jaguars whenever this line comes out. If you have extra put some on the money line also. The Jags will get their first win on the season!
By: CJ Rooks (@cjrooks0415)
Happy football weekend to everyone and thank you for reading another edition of the Rooks Report.
I hope you had the chance to read the article last week because my picks finished with a 6-1 record! The six wins were Arkansas, Missouri, Washington Huskies, Ohio State, Vikings and Packers. The only loss was the Wyoming Cowboys. As always my updated record for the year is posted below and best of luck to everyone this weekend.
Record on the Year: 19-7
Florida Gators +3 @Tennessee Volunteers: I am going to open the week with my hometown team, the Florida Gators. Yes, the same Gator team that was just torched at Alabama. That same defense that gave up a school record for total yards by an opposing offense. This line opened Florida a small favorite around -1, but has now flipped to Tennessee-3. In my opinion I don’t think this is a sharp move and it is all public money. The Gators last game was a blowout and the Vols had a close loss to Georgia. Be careful of public perception because it can get you in trouble majority of the time. The Gators are in a must win situation in my opinion. Jeff Driskel must play better and I think he will be on a short leash if he doesn’t perform well. Tennessee has the offensive firepower, but also a young o-line. I am rolling with Muschamp here and taking the 3 points.
Texas A&M Aggies @ Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5: Is it just me or does it seem like the Aggies never lose a game? They seem to be the popular team because of their exciting play, but I think they finally will lose this weekend. I like Kenny Hill as a quarterback, but he is still very young. He was rattled last weekend against that Arkansas defense and I think Mississippi State will do the same to him. Kevin Sumlin will have the Aggies ready I am sure of that. However, this is Dan Mullens best team and Mullen is very experienced in how to defend this type of offense. Go with the Bulldogs -2.5 and if you don’t know the name Dak Prescott, you will after Saturday.
Oklahoma Sooners @ TCU Horned Frogs +5: I like this game specifically because of the line. I do not understand why it is so low. Oklahoma has played and beaten decent teams in Tennessee and on the road in West Virginia. TCU on the other hand hasn’t played anyone, but has dominated. The line opened at 5 most places and has remained at the number. I have seen other books drop to 4.5. I think Vegas is begging you to pick the Sooners because the average bettor will say of course the Sooners can beat TCU by more than a touchdown. Not so fast there. TCU is the giant killer and will not be afraid. This defense is very stingy and the offense has been playing very well. I like TCU’s head coach Gary Patterson and he will have his team prepared for the Sooners high-powered offense. I look for a low scoring game and the TCU to cover the 5.
North Carolina State Wolfpack @ Clemson Tigers -13.5: This one pains me because I am a huge fan of Jacoby Brissett and yes; I know this is the same North Carolina State that almost nocked off FSU last weekend. Now it is time for a huge letdown. Once again you are getting public perception that North Carolina State is a very good team and no way are they going to get beat by two touchdowns. No, stop thinking that way. Clemson is playing at home and that defense will be ready to go. The Tigers have finally settled on a quarterback and the Wolfpack defense is not very good. Go with Clemson now at -13.5 before it gets to high.
Baylor Bears @ Texas Longhorns +14.5: That’s right you read this correctly. I am going against the high scoring Baylor Bears. Baylor has not played anyone yet this year. Texas has two losses on their schedule, but they are against UCLA and a very good BYU team. This is the perfect game to bet on. The public will be all over Baylor and their high scoring offense. The public sees Charlie Strong and Texas being in disarray with all the suspensions and dismissals and no way will they cover two touchdowns. Well I don’t think so. This line opened at 13 and climbed as high as 17 and has now trickled back down to 14.5. You may be able to get a better number right before kickoff, but take the Longhorns as long as it is above two touchdowns.
Stanford Cardinals -2.5 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish: So the Cardinals are the 13th ranked team in the nation and Notre Dame is ranked 8th. Notre Dame is undefeated while Stanford has a loss on their schedule and struggled last week on the road at Washington. Why in the world are they favored? I will tell you why, its because they are going to beat Notre Dame on Saturday. Everett Golson is a great story. Coming back and dominating the way he has. The only problem is Notre Dame has not played anyone and this line should tell you something. In the beginning of the week Stanford opened at -1 and it has climbed even higher to -2.5. That should tell you everything you need to know right there. Stanford has played against USC and Washington and Notre Dame has beat up on cupcakes. Public loves Notre Dame and I say go against and take Stanford -2.5. Grab it before it gets too high.
St. Louis Rams +7 @ Philadelphia Eagles: This is one of those games on the schedule were you say no way the Eagles can lose. The Rams are terrible. The Eagles should cover this game with ease. I say not so fast. The Rams are coming off a bye week and the Eagles struggled on offense last week against the 49ers. This is an early kickoff and the Rams will come in and surprise a bunch of people and keep this game competitive. Take St. Louis and the 7 before it gets any lower.
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans -2: Cleveland will be a popular bet coming off their bye week. The Browns should be 2-1, but blew their last game against the Ravens. The Titans are going to get Jake Locker back finally and Ken Whisenhunt will have his team ready to bounce back after three straight blowouts. The Titans have faced a brutal schedule the past two weeks going to Cincinnati and Indianapolis. Two of the best teams in the AFC. The NFL is week to week and I always like going against the popular team. Take the Titans -2 before it gets any higher.
By: CJ Rooks (@cjrooks0415)
Rooks Best Picks Week 5 (09/26/14)
Happy football weekend to everyone and thank you for reading another edition of the Rooks Report. There were not any picks listed on 1010XL last week because of computer issues on my end. I apologize, but I still posted my weekly picks on twitter. Please click the link for proof.
I finished the weekend 3-2. My two losses were the Gators and Akron. The three wins were Mississippi State, New York Giants, and Washington Redskins. My updated record is posted below.
Record on the Year: 13-6
Wyoming +27.5 @ Michigan State: That’s right everyone you read this right. I am taking the Wyoming Cowboys to cover at Michigan State. The same Michigan State that just beat Eastern Michigan 73-14. Do not take this pick until Saturday morning. The line opened most places at – 33 and has plummeted to 27 or 27.5 depending on where you go. That is not public money driving it down. That is all sharp money. The public will force the line back up and that’s when you take Wyoming. I will trust the sharp money on this one. Take the Wyoming Cowboys to keep you entertained early Saturday afternoon.
Arkansas Razorbacks +9.5 vs. Texas A&M (Neutral Site): I am going with the Razorbacks in this one. Yes, Kenny Hill and that Aggie offense are terrifying to play against, but I like Bielema and his team to keep it close. The Razorback offense is not too shabby and I think they play the keep away strategy and run the ball every possession. The line has dropped from the opening number of 13.5. Take the Razorbacks and the points.
Stanford Cardinals @ Washington Huskies +7.5: This line opened most places around 4.5 and 5 and I think that’s all public money driving it up. The public is remembering last week when the Huskies were down 14-0 at home to Georgia State. Washington eventually came back and won 45-14, and will not survive if they are down 14 points against Stanford. I don’t think this game will get out of hand. If you don’t know the coach of the Huskies, it is the one and only Chris Petersen. The same Chris Petersen that was at Boise State and seemed to always have his team stay competitive in big games. Washington has a really good defense and a veteran offensive line. You don’t know the name yet, but Shaq Thompson who plays linebacker for the Huskies is a great player. The Cardinals have a great defense also and that’s why I think this game stays close. Grab the 7.5 while you still can and roll with the Huskies.
Missouri Tigers +5.5 @ South Carolina Gamecocks: I know I am doing it to you readers again. Taking a team that just lost to Indiana and now will play on the road in South Carolina. Here me out though. Missouri was asleep last week for that game and will not play like that in South Carolina. If we know anything about the Tigers its that they always seem to surprise us. The Gamecocks just had trouble with Vanderbilt. I think this game will be a back and forth shootout. I am rolling with the Tigers. The line opened up South Carolina -7 and has dropped to -5 or -5.5. The public is on South Carolina and I say go opposite and take the Tigers.
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Ohio State Buckeyes -17: Yes, I know the Bearcats are the hot team that everyone is talking about. They have a great quarterback in Gunner Kiel and they will attempt to throw the ball all over the field. However, I like Ohio State coming off a bye to take care of the Bearcats with ease. Urban Meyer has had two weeks to prepare for this game and we all know Urbans record when has had multiple weeks to prepare for a matchup. The Buckeyes were embarrassed three weekends ago with a home loss to Virginia Tech and I don’t think they will let that happen again. The line opened at 13 and has climbed all the way to 17. Take the Buckeyes and the points before it gets to high.
Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings +3: Once again I am going to surprise everyone and take the less popular team. This line has climbed back up to 3 from 1.5. It opened most places at 3.5. The sharps hit this game when it first came out and now the public is driving it back up. I know the Falcons just blew out Tampa Bay, but they will not do that in Minnesota and against this Vikings defense. The public is hammering this spread between 80-90%. We will go opposite and take the Vikings at home in Teddy Bridgewater’s first start. I think Minnesota will be victorious in Teddy’s first start, but to play it safe take the Vikings and the 3 points.
Green Bay Packers +2 @ Chicago Bears: The Packers have started the year playing terrible and can easily be 0-3 if it wasn’t for a comeback against the New York Jets when they were down 21-3. Why are they favored in this game? This is the same Bears team that just went on the road and won at San Francisco and at New York. This Chicago team is good, but they cannot stop the run. For some reason the only team to run the ball on them was Buffalo. The 49ers and Jets got away from the run game and they ended up losing. The Packers have faced the three toughest run defenses and that is why Eddie Lacy has played so terrible. Lacy will have a field day against Chicago and will allow Aaron Rogers to pick apart this Bears secondary. I also think this game will be a shootout so be prepared for back and forth. Like Aaron Rogers said earlier in the week, “Relax”, take the Packers -2 before it climbs any higher.